Archive | May 6, 2016

Small Explosion Recorded At Cleveland Volcano Aleutian Islands, Alaska

Cleveland volcano satellite image by (c) Google Earth View
The Alaska Volcano Observatory (AVO) raised the alert level of the volcano from yellow to orange after a new explosion was detected that had occurred this morning (18:44 AKDT local time). 
The size of the new eruption is unknown, but probably small; there are no direct observations of the remote volcano, but the explosion could be seen on both infrasound (air pressure) and seismic data. 
“There are no recent satellite views since the detected explosion, but previous Cleveland explosions have typically produced ash emissions”, AVO wrote in its bulletin this morning.
Courtesy of

Seismic Unrest At Niigata Yake-Yama Volcano In Honshu, Japan

Seismic unrest (1 and 2) and slight inflation (3) at Niigata Yake-Yama (source: JMA)
An increase in small earthquakes has been detected under the volcano located on the border between Niigata and Nagano Prefecture recently. 
In addition, a slight increase in fumarolic activity on the eastern side of the summit crater was noted and some inflation of the volcanic edifice recorded. 
According to the Niigata Meteorological Observatory monitoring the volcano, the number of volcanic earthquakes has been up to 4 times that of normal background levels, with up to 23 quakes recorded on a single day. Seismic activity has been dominated by low-frequency earthquakes, which are thought to reflect internal fluid movements (gasses, hot watery solutions, as well as magma).
While the observed unrest is far from at alarming levels, they might reflect a change in the internal hydrothermal and /or magma storage system and could (but not necessarily must) be precursors to new activity at the surface. 
The alert level of the volcano remains at the lowest level (1 out of 5), but because of the uncertainty involved with the observed signs of unrest and a probably elevated risk of sudden explosions, the local government has set an exclusion zone inside a radius of 1 km around the summit. 
After all, Niigata Yake-Yama is one of Honshu’s most active volcanoes with frequent eruptions in the past centuries, including a VEI 4 explosive eruption in 887 AD that produced large pyroclastic flows that reached the Japan Sea.
Steaming from the summit crater (NHK)
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New Ash Emissions At Turrialba Volcano In Costa Rica

Ash plume from Turrialba volcano yesterday (image: Jean Paul Calvo / RSN)
The volcano remains at elevated unrest and had a new small eruption yesterday noon (at 12:05 local time), producing ash emissions similar to those during the past weekend.
Courtesy of

San Andreas fault ‘locked, loaded and ready to roll’ with big earthquake, expert says

San Andreas fault
This simulation by the Southern California Earthquake Center shows the shaking that could be felt by Los Angeles during a possible magnitude 8 earthquake on the San Andreas fault. (SCEC)
Southern California’s section of the San Andreas fault is “locked, loaded and ready to roll,” a leading earthquake scientist said Wednesday at the National Earthquake Conference in Long Beach.
The San Andreas fault is one of California’s most dangerous, and is the state’s longest fault. Yet for Southern California, the last big earthquake to strike the southern San Andreas was in 1857, when a magnitude 7.9 earthquake ruptured an astonishing 185 miles between Monterey County and the San Gabriel Mountains near Los Angeles.
It has been quiet since then — too quiet, said Thomas Jordan, director of the Southern California Earthquake Center.
San Andreas fault
Although the Pacific plate is moving northwest relative to North America at about 16 feet, or 5 meters, every 100 years, the southern San Andreas fault has been quiet for more than a century.  (Thomas Jordan / Southern California Earthquake Center)
“The springs on the San Andreas system have been wound very, very tight. And the southern San Andreas fault, in particular, looks like it’s locked, loaded and ready to go,” Jordan said in the opening keynote talk.
Other sections of the San Andreas fault also are far overdue for a big quake. Further southeast of the Cajon Pass, such as in San Bernardino County, the fault has not moved substantially since an earthquake in 1812, and further southeast toward the Salton Sea, it has been relatively quiet since about 1680 to 1690.
Here’s the problem: Scientists have observed that based on the movement of tectonic plates, with the Pacific plate moving northwest of the North American plate, earthquakes should be relieving about 16 feet of accumulated plate movement every 100 years. Yet the San Andreas has not relieved stress that has been building up for more than a century.
Jordan said it’s important that California focus on becoming resilient to a potential huge earthquake, one as strong as a magnitude 8. He praised Los Angeles’ plan to require earthquake retrofits on apartment and concrete buildings, pushed into law by Mayor Eric Garcetti.
“It’s remarkable that this happened,” Jordan said. “We know politically how difficult it is to make these kinds of changes.”
Other areas of focus have included strengthening Los Angeles’ vulnerable aqueduct systems and its telecommunications networks.
A 2008 U.S. Geological Survey report warned that a magnitude 7.8 earthquake on the southern San Andreas fault would cause more than 1,800 deaths, 50,000 injuries, $200 billion in damage and severe, long-lasting disruptions. Among the predicted problems: The sewer system could be out of commission for six months.
Such an earthquake could cause shaking for nearly two minutes, with the strongest shaking in the Coachella Valley, Inland Empire and Antelope Valley, but it also could send pockets of strong shaking into areas where sediments trap shaking waves, such as the San Gabriel Valley and East Los Angeles.
The devastating potential of the fault became clear with a 1857 temblor, which had an estimated magnitude of 7.9. It became known as the Fort Tejon quake. The name is something of a misnomer because it started farther north, way up in Parkfield in Monterey County. The quake then barreled south on the San Andreas for about 185 miles, through Fort Tejon near the northern edge of Los Angeles County, then east toward the Cajon Pass in San Bernardino County, near what is now the 15 Freeway.
The quake was so powerful that the soil liquefied, causing trees as far away as Stockton to sink. Trees were also uprooted west of Fort Tejon. The shaking lasted 1 to 3 minutes.
Even though the San Andreas fault does not go directly into Los Angeles — it is 30 miles away from downtown — the city is expected to be heavily shaken by a large earthquake on that fault. For instance, simulations of a possible magnitude 7.8 quake on the San Andreas fault that begins at the Salton Sea and spreads west toward the San Gabriel mountains show seismic shaking waves “bent into the Los Angeles area,” Jordan said.
Using the world’s largest supercomputer at the time, the Southern California Earthquake Center in 2010 unveiled a simulated magnitude 8 earthquake that begins in Monterey County, like in 1857, but travels even farther south, heading toward the Mexican border. The L.A. Basin and the San Fernando Valley would be hit hard because the shaking would be trapped by soft soils in the valley and basin.  
“You can see that this area of influence by the shaking has now expanded out to huge proportions,” Jordan said. “You see that big directivity pulse out in front, as that energy is being shoved down that fault, that directivity pulse leads energy into seismic waves that excite the sedimentary basins, like the San Fernando Valley and the Los Angeles Basin,” and through San Bernardino, Jordan said. 
“You’ll notice large shaking in the Los Angeles region persisting for long periods of time,” he said.
Courtesy of



***BE ALERT***

Magnetogram 06.05.16  21.49 hrs UTC


Subject To Change

Depth: 1 km

Distances: 405 km N of Los Angeles, United States / pop: 3,792,621 / local time: 13:07:23.6 2016-05-06
180 km S of Carson City, United States / pop: 55,274 / local time: 13:07:23.6 2016-05-06
86 km E of Mariposa, United States / pop: 2,173 / local time: 13:07:23.6 2016-05-06
4 km W of Mammoth Lakes, United States / pop: 8,234 / local time: 13:07:23.6 2016-05-06

Global viewRegional view


Subject To Change

Depth: 107 km

Distances: 184 km SW of Saipan, Northern Mariana Islands / pop: 48,220 / local time: 05:31:59.6 2016-05-07
27 km N of Yigo Village, Guam / pop: 20,539 / local time: 05:31:59.6 2016-05-07

Global viewRegional view


Subject To Change

Depth: 10 km

Distances: 1695 km NW of Lisbon, Portugal / pop: 517,802 / local time: 16:19:27.3 2016-05-06
837 km N of Ponta Delgada, Portugal / pop: 20,056 / local time: 15:19:27.3 2016-05-06

Global viewRegional view


Subject To Change

Depth: 16 km

Distances: 113 km N of San Diego, United States / pop: 1,307,402 / local time: 23:19:32.0 2016-05-05
59 km SE of Riverside, United States / pop: 303,871 / local time: 23:19:32.0 2016-05-05
7 km SE of Valle Vista, United States / pop: 14,578 / local time: 23:19:32.0 2016-05-05

Global viewRegional view


Subject To Change

Depth: 15 km

Distances: 294 km S of Fukuoka-shi, Japan / pop: 1,392,289 / local time: 14:11:23.0 2016-05-06
133 km W of Kagoshima-shi, Japan / pop: 555,352 / local time: 14:11:23.0 2016-05-06
103 km W of Makurazaki, Japan / pop: 24,971 / local time: 14:11:23.0 2016-05-06

Global viewRegional view