Tropical cyclone to form early next week in Gulf of Mexico, forecasters say

The National Hurricane Center's "Atlantic Five-Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook" shows two storm systems that forecasters are currently monitoring for development into tropical storms or depressions. (Image courtesy of the National Hurricane Center.)
Image courtesy of the National Hurricane Center
A broad area of low pressure that formed Saturday (June 17) near Honduras is expected to develop into a tropical cyclone early next week in the Gulf of Mexico, according to the National Hurricane Center. The potential storm has been brewing in the Caribbean Sea since Wednesday and now carries an 80 percent chance of developing into a tropical storm or depression within the next five days.
 
The hurricane center is also tracking a tropical wave located thousands of miles southeast of the Gulf that has a 60 percent chance of tropical depression or storm formation over the next five days.
 
In an alert issued Saturday at 1 p.m., hurricane specialist Jack Beven wrote that a broad low pressure area has formed in the Gulf of Honduras and is expected to move northwest across the Yucatan Peninsula over the weekend. As the system slowly develops, it’s poised to form a tropical cyclone early next week in the southern or central portion of the Gulf of Mexico.
 
“Regardless of development, heavy rains are likely to spread over portions of Central America, the Yucatan Peninsula, Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, and western Cuba during the next several days,” Beven wrote Saturday.
 
A “tropical cyclone” refers generally to any rotating system of clouds and thunderstorms that originates over tropical or subtropical waters and is not yet spinning fast enough to be classified as a hurricane, typhoon or cyclone, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. That classification kicks in once the system’s maximum sustained winds reach 74 mph or higher.
Courtesy of nola.com
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