#UK could be hit by another ‘Beast from the East’ this #winter, say #scientists
Britain could be facing a new “Beast from the East” big freeze this winter, scientists have warned.
After studying sea temperatures and air pressures over the north Atlantic Ocean, climate experts have suggested January and February 2020 could be among the coldest for decades.
This would be caused by the jet stream – strong winds that move weather systems across from the Atlantic to Britain – deflecting southwards for weeks around Christmas, allowing freezing air to dominate the country, it is predicted.
The predictions for over four months’ time are one of the longest-range UK weather forecasts ever attempted.
Scientists from University College London have forecast an average temperature of 3.9C (39F) for January to February next year in central England – which they said was 0.5C below the 1981-2010 average for the same period.
The team, led by Mark Saunders, professor of climate prediction at UCL, wrote in a paper: “This would rank 2020 January-February central England as the coldest winter since January-February 2013.
“It would also rank January-February 2020 as the seventh coldest winter in the last 30 years, and the 23rd coldest winter since 1953.”
“There is a 57% chance the central England temperature will be colder than the 4.1C (39.4F) in 2018, thus making it the coldest January-February since 2013,” they added.
The 2018 “Beast from the East” happened as very cold air swept in from Russia.
It brought unusually low temperatures and heavy snowfall to large parts of the UK in late February and March last year.
Seventeen people died, including a seven-year-old girl, and temperatures plummeted to -17C in the Cairngorms in Scotland.
The possible new extreme freezing weather would contrast markedly with this July when the UK recorded its highest-ever temperature, which was 38.7C (101.7F) in Cambridge.
Courtesy of Sky News
#Disruptive #Snow Could Hit The #UK Next Week According To The #MetOffice
***‘BEAST FROM THE EAST’ ALERT***
DISRUPTIVE SNOW COULD HIT THE UK
NEXT WEEK ACCORDING TO THE ‘MET
Is there another ‘Beast from the East’ on the way?
Judah Cohen @judah47 has just announced the following news: It’s official Stratospheric Major Warming and #PolarVortex split! Second in two years. Both PV splits under different phases of ENSO, MJO and QBO. What is the same? High October Eurasian #snow cover extent and low Barents-Kara sea ice concentration both years. Coincidence?
Official blog of the Met Office news team
There have been many headlines in recent days proclaiming a return of the ‘Beast from the East’ and ‘triple polar vortex to trigger heavy snow’ with bookies reportedly cutting the odds that this month will end as the coldest January on record following a sudden stratospheric warming high above the Arctic.
So, just how much truth lies behind these headlines and what can we really say about the weather for the coming month? Our Deputy Chief Meteorologist Jason Kelly explains.
Well, it is true that a sudden stratospheric warming has happened. The warming started around 22 December 2018 and the winds at around 30km above the North Pole have now reversed from westerly to easterly. At ground level we know that sudden stratospheric warmings tend to weaken the UK’s prevailing mild westerly winds, increasing the chances of us seeing colder weather a couple of weeks after…
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Bitter Easterly Winds For UK In 2 Weeks According To CFS 0z Model? (Subject To Change!!)
Bitter Easterly Winds For UK In 2 Weeks According To CFS 0z Model?
(Subject To Change!!)